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Town Center: Traffic Impact

by Daniel Mesnick, Town Crier Guest Column, Apr 27, 2006

Kevin Dandrade, the traffic consultant hired by the Planning Board, reported his preliminary findings about the traffic impact of a mixed-use development and Chapter 40B housing complex on the Raytheon site.

Kevin did a good job. The problem is that he was given the wrong scenarios to compare. In addition, his trip estimates overlook the fact that Wayland residents drive their cars today to shop. Drivers will simply be changing destination.

So what does the traffic study compare? The traffic study compares a Town Center to a 40B housing complex without considering the road system and traffic flow. But that's not what residents will vote on. On May 3 residents will choose between a Town Center with mitigation, and a 40B housing complex with no mitigation.

Under the Town Center proposal, the property owner is contractually committed to pay all costs (valued in the millions) for studies and mitigation on routes 20, 27 and 126, and the intersection of Route 20/27/126. In addition, the owner must pay for all costs for pre-construction study of nine local roads plus $75,000 for post-construction studies and mitigation on nine local roads.

With the 40B housing complex proposal, the developer is not required to pay for any traffic studies or mitigation.

To understand how critical mitigation is we have to look at traffic volume, road capacity and level of service (i.e., how easily traffic moves).

The traffic study estimated only the number of trips (i.e. volume) theoretically generated by a Town Center and a 40B housing complex. Sounds important, right? Not really. Understanding the number of trips is meaningless without also looking at how much traffic the roads can handle (i.e., capacity).

When roads have the capacity to handle the traffic volume then the level of service (LoS) is good. When roads are over-capacity then the LoS is poor. Mitigating factors that influence road capacity (and therefore LoS) are road design, traffic signals, turning movements and other factors. 

The only way to compare the traffic impact of the Town Center and the 40B proposals is to compare the LoS for each. The number of trips on its own gives no indication of traffic flow and LoS.

And guess what, the level of service for Town Center is the same or better than the 40B. Traffic studies show that the level of service at Route 27/126 near the library will be rated "A" for the Town Center with mitigation, and "F" for the housing complex. The level of service is the same at Route 20/27 for both options.

Will Town Center generate more trips than the 40B? Yes. Will the traffic congestion be worse than the 40B? No. Thanks to the millions of dollars of mitigation paid for by the property owner the Town Center LoS will be the same or better than the 40B.

The roads around Town Center will be safer, too. There have been over 70 accidents at the Route 27/126 intersection over the past three years. Fortunately there have been no fatalities up to this point.

Local neighborhood traffic will improve as well. When do drivers take detours onto local roads? When the main routes are congested. If you address congestion on the main routes and intersections then local streets won't be used as shortcuts.

Let's take one last look at the trip estimates from the traffic study. During his presentation Kevin acknowledged that the number of trips estimated for the Town Center were high because of double counting.

His trip estimates don't reflect the fact that Wayland residents drive their cars today to shop. Kevin assumed that all trips to the Town Center were new trips. Instead, many of these so-called new trips will simply be current drivers going to a new location. Instead of driving to Sudbury Farms for groceries, for example, drivers will stop at the Town Center grocery store. It is not a new trip adding traffic volume.

When you go to vote at special Town Meeting please keep in mind these important points. First, the only true measure of traffic impact is the level of service. Second, the level of service for the Town Center will be the same or better than the 40B housing complex. Third, the property owner pays for all mitigation with the Town Center and taxpayers foot the bill under the 40B. Fourth, I believe, and Kevin concurred, the mixed-use project is a best land use for this site. We can have 40B in other parts of town and still get 25 affordable housing units for this project. 

Please join me in voting "yes" for Town Center on May 3. Town Center provides much-needed traffic mitigation, a gain of $710,000 per year in tax revenue, a $3 million gift and many other financial and lifestyle benefits. The vacant Raytheon site now generates $230,000 per year in taxes and the 40B would be less than that at $200,000.

If we do not vote for the best land use mixed-use project, we will walk away from a net $510,000 per year forever that will help avoid future overrides. Traffic will get worse and the neighborhoods will get more traffic with no money to pay for mitigation.

We need a two-thirds majority to win so I urge you to attend special Town Meeting and vote "yes" for Town Center.

Dan Mesnick is a transportation planner with a master's degree from MIT in city planning and 25 years of practical experience in transport planning and analysis, traffic engineering and traffic mitigation. He has just been elected to the Wayland Planning Board.

 

 
     

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